Establishing a Baseline for Thermal Stress Conditions – A High-Resolution Radiative Perspective April 18, 2023 As Earth’s climate warms, outdoor thermal conditions that threaten human life are becoming more frequent and severe. To prepare and adapt effectively to this challenge,…
Event Attribution is Not Ready for a Major Role in Loss and Damage April 17, 2023 Loss and damage funds are intended to support low-income regions experiencing impacts of human-caused climate change. Currently, event attribution should only play a limited role…
Identifying Historical Climate Changes in Australia Through Spatial Analogs March 28, 2023 Spatial analogs have previously been used to communicate climate projections by comparing the future climate of a location with an analogous recent climate at a…
Mapping Land-use Fluxes for 2001–2020 from Global Models to National Inventories March 10, 2023 With the focus of climate policy shifting from pledges to implementation, there is an increasing need to track progress on climate change mitigation at country…
Projections of Synoptic Anticyclones for the Twenty-First Century March 10, 2023 Synoptic anticyclones are a common feature of subtropical and midlatitude climate and are associated with descending air and clear conditions, while associated anticyclonic circulation anomalies…
A Comprehensive Synthesis of Anthropogenic and Natural Sources and Sinks of Australasia’s Carbon Budget February 26, 2023 Regional carbon budget assessments attribute and track changes in carbon sources and sinks and support the development and monitoring the efficacy of climate policies. We…
Antarctic Shelf Ocean Warming and Sea Ice Melt Affected by Projected El Niño Changes February 20, 2023 Antarctic shelf ocean warming affects melt of ice shelf/sheets and sea ice but projected changes vary vastly across climate models. A projected increase in El…
Australian Climate Warming: Observed Change from 1850 and Global Temperature Targets February 20, 2023 Mean annual temperature is often used as a benchmark for monitoring climate change and as an indicator of its potential impacts. The Paris Agreement of…
Our 2023 Research Plan February 10, 2023 The NESP Climate Systems Hub stands at a crossroads looking to provide the best available science to Australia’s decision-makers. This research plan builds upon the…
Crown Fire Initiation of a Thunderstorm February 7, 2023 Understanding bushfire–atmosphere interactions is essential for accurate prediction of fire behaviour, and for the safe and effective strategic management of fires to mitigate risk to…
Types of Severe Convective Wind Events in Eastern Australia January 31, 2023 Severe winds associated with thunderstorms and convection are a hazard affecting key aspects of society, including emergency management and infrastructure design. Several studies around the…
2022 Hub Strategies January 20, 2023 These strategies outline the nature and goals of hub activities for 2022. They have been prepared by the strategy leads and will be renewed as…
Climate Processes and Drivers in the Pacific and Global Warming: A Review for Informing Pacific Planning Agencies January 19, 2023 Pacific Island countries are vulnerable to climate variability and change. Developing strategies for adaptation and planning processes in the Pacific requires new knowledge and updated information…
Australia’s Future Extratropical Cyclones November 17, 2022 Extratropical cyclones, low pressure systems, are responsible for the majority of total and extreme rainfall in many regions outside the tropics, including in southern Australia….
Global Carbon Budget 2022 November 11, 2022 Accurate assessment of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and their redistribution among the atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial biosphere in a changing climate is critical to…
Statistical Framework for Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Landfall Risk through Modulation of the Western Pacific Subtropical High and ENSO November 2, 2022 Seasonal predictions of tropical cyclone (TC) landfalls are challenging because seasonal landfall count not only depends on the number and spatial distribution of TC genesis,…
Climate and Agricultural risk: Assessing the Impacts of Major Climate Drivers on Australian Cotton Production October 1, 2022 Climate variability and extremes adversely impacts Australian cotton crop production and imposes a major constraint on farm planning, industry supply chains and resource allocation. This study…
Storylines of South Pacific Convergence Zone Changes in a Warmer World September 23, 2022 The South Pacific convergence zone (SPCZ) is evaluated in simulations of historical climate from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) and phase…
Our 2022 Research Plan September 15, 2022 The Climate Systems Hub, as with the NESP Program, stands at a crossroad looking to provide the best available science to Australia’s decision makers. This…
Rapid Warming in the Australian Alps from Observation and NARCliM Simulations September 14, 2022 The Australian Alps are the highest mountain range in Australia, which are important for biodiversity, energy generation and winter tourism. Significant increases in temperature in…