Weather Conditions Influence Conservation Success July 14, 2023 Australia’s unique biodiversity and delicate ecosystems mean we are particularly vulnerable to the effects of climate change. As temperatures continue to rise, seasonal conditions change…
Subseasonal Prediction Framework for Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Solomon Islands Region July 8, 2023 Recently, we developed seasonal prediction schemes with improved skill to predict tropical cyclone (TC) activity up to 3 months in advance for the Solomon Islands (SI)…
Communicating the Link Between Climate Change and Extreme Rain Events July 7, 2023 Extreme rainfall events are often linked to climate change based on simple thermodynamic arguments, but complex dynamic processes also play a role. Scientists have a…
Atmospheric Drivers of Tasman Sea Marine Heatwaves July 7, 2023 Marine heatwaves (MHWs) can severely impact marine biodiversity, fisheries, and aquaculture. Consequently, there is an increasing desire to understand the drivers of these events to…
Impact of Zonal and Meridional Atmospheric Flow on Surface Climate and Extremes in the Southern Hemisphere June 19, 2023 The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) describes the annular or zonal component of the large-scale atmospheric circulation in the Southern Hemisphere (SH) extratropics and influences surface…
The Pacific Decadal Oscillation Modulated Marine Heatwaves in the Northeast Pacific During Past Decades June 7, 2023 The Pacific Decadal Oscillation has been suggested to play an important role in driving marine heatwaves in the Northeast Pacific during recent decades. Here we…
Future Climate Change will Increase Risk to Mangrove Health in Northern Australia May 30, 2023 Mangroves of the wet-dry tropical Gulf of Carpentaria, Australia, survive in a harsh environment. One of the worst recorded mangrove dieback events occurred during the…
Impact of Volcanic Eruptions on Extratropical Atmospheric Circulations: Review, Revisit and Future Directions May 26, 2023 Understanding the impacts of volcanic eruptions on the atmospheric circulations and surface climate in the extratropics is important for inter-annual to decadal climate prediction. Previous…
Anthropogenic Impacts on Twentieth-century ENSO Variability Changes May 18, 2023 El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) sea surface temperature (SST) variability increased after 1960, influenced by more frequent strong El Niño and La Niña events. Whether such…
The Link Between the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Rainfall Trends in Northwest Australia April 18, 2023 Rainfall during the monsoon in northwest Australia has increased since the 1950s. Previous studies have explored possible causes of the rainfall increase; however, the trend…
Establishing a Baseline for Thermal Stress Conditions – A High-Resolution Radiative Perspective April 18, 2023 As Earth’s climate warms, outdoor thermal conditions that threaten human life are becoming more frequent and severe. To prepare and adapt effectively to this challenge,…
Event Attribution is Not Ready for a Major Role in Loss and Damage April 17, 2023 Loss and damage funds are intended to support low-income regions experiencing impacts of human-caused climate change. Currently, event attribution should only play a limited role…
Identifying Historical Climate Changes in Australia Through Spatial Analogs March 28, 2023 Spatial analogs have previously been used to communicate climate projections by comparing the future climate of a location with an analogous recent climate at a…
Mapping Land-use Fluxes for 2001–2020 from Global Models to National Inventories March 10, 2023 With the focus of climate policy shifting from pledges to implementation, there is an increasing need to track progress on climate change mitigation at country…
Projections of Synoptic Anticyclones for the Twenty-First Century March 10, 2023 Synoptic anticyclones are a common feature of subtropical and midlatitude climate and are associated with descending air and clear conditions, while associated anticyclonic circulation anomalies…
A Comprehensive Synthesis of Anthropogenic and Natural Sources and Sinks of Australasia’s Carbon Budget February 26, 2023 Regional carbon budget assessments attribute and track changes in carbon sources and sinks and support the development and monitoring the efficacy of climate policies. We…
Antarctic Shelf Ocean Warming and Sea Ice Melt Affected by Projected El Niño Changes February 20, 2023 Antarctic shelf ocean warming affects melt of ice shelf/sheets and sea ice but projected changes vary vastly across climate models. A projected increase in El…
Australian Climate Warming: Observed Change from 1850 and Global Temperature Targets February 20, 2023 Mean annual temperature is often used as a benchmark for monitoring climate change and as an indicator of its potential impacts. The Paris Agreement of…
Our 2023 Research Plan February 10, 2023 The NESP Climate Systems Hub stands at a crossroads looking to provide the best available science to Australia’s decision-makers. This research plan builds upon the…
Crown Fire Initiation of a Thunderstorm February 7, 2023 Understanding bushfire–atmosphere interactions is essential for accurate prediction of fire behaviour, and for the safe and effective strategic management of fires to mitigate risk to…